After several years of quiet neglect Afghanistan is receiving some attention. There's nothing new, per se, in the Times editorial, but it crisply encapsulates some flaws in our strategy: insufficient attention to providing justice, inadequate oversight of mission-critical contracts, and too much focus on quantity of security forces rather than their quality (manifest through crash courses rather than sustained field training.)
The Times editorial is better than most, but it still opts for easy cynicism in concluding "so much for winning the good war." Perhaps we should not read too much into this rhetorical flourish, but is the Times implying that the war cannot be won? What would "winning" entail?
Reconstruction of fractured nations is a daunting task, and we'd be having problems even if things had been managed well. Yet much has been achieved in Afghanistan, people remain optimistic (twice as many Afghans see the country headed in the right direction as in the wrong direction), and disaster is far from inevitable. Drawing too close a parallel to the brutal unraveling of Iraq--as it seems fashionable to do--is analytically lazy and has real consequences for a project of such importance.
Losing the Good War, NY Times Op-ed, Dec 5
...The failure to provide local security — or even a semblance of impartial justice — helps explain why so many Afghans have lost confidence in the pro-Western government of President Hamid Karzai, and why a growing number are again turning to the Taliban for protection. MORE
The failure to stand up an effective police force also helps explain why opium cultivation rose by nearly 60 percent this year.
Creating even the most basic government institutions was always going to be difficult in a country as poor as Afghanistan. According to one expert, 70 percent or more of the recruits in the police training program are illiterate — not surprising in a country with a male literacy rate of only 43 percent. But the State Department and Pentagon compounded these problems, handing off the bulk of the police training work to an expensive private contractor and then failing to vigilantly monitor the program. We have seen that time and again in Iraq, where experts say the police training is at least as flawed...
As for fixing the police training program, there is little hope of that without also reforming the Afghan Ministry of Interior, which oversees the police, and is mired in both incompetence and corruption. Washington has sent some advisers to help clean up the ministry, but the effort is moving far too slowly. And the United States and its allies need to send a lot more police advisers to walk the beat with the newly graduated recruits, who get just a few months of classroom training. That is standard practice for training effective police forces, but it has not been tried in Afghanistan.
I think I agree, it is not difficult to slip into an "easy cynicism" with Afghanistan. However I'm starting to think of the place in a slightly different light than the majority of the reports on the place I read from the MSM, NGO and the blogsphere which seem to focus on about a 6 month timeline. So, though I'm still sorting things out, I think I might be becoming a hard cynic about the place. Here is where I am. Afghanistan is very (extremely) economically underdeveloped except maybe for pockets in Kabul so without a guerilla war there are major problems in terms of developing a stable society - democratic or not. NATO in the South, at least my country Canada, says it is focusing partly on development (though under questioning in the H. of Commons can't specify any real details) which means building infrastructure (roads & buildings etc.). Roads and buildings help but don't make a stable society and are easy targets for the dissatisfied. If there were no enemies to fight or destroy infrastructure and the Afghan gov't has simply to govern which means provide services where do the funds come from to do this. A check of the limited fiscal framework information the Afghan finance department puts up on the web indicates that most of the gov't revenue comes from outside, though some is raised by an import tax. The country has some resources but they seem pretty limited and are likely not sufficient to raise anyones standard of living much. All this is leading me to think that simply defeating the Taliban militarily, questionable right now, just maybe gets the West or NATO to the starting line i.e. this is a 20 or 30 year project. So other than for humanitarian reason, I'm pretty sceptical about the place and certainly about my own country's involvement. I'm looking around for examples of situations that maybe analogous to Afghanistan - underdeveloped, few economic resources, immature goverance structure, partly warrior type population that feels disatisfied - that have been a success in moving towards stablility.
Posted by: pangloss | December 05, 2006 at 12:18 PM
Anyone who thinks that the Afghan people will be better off following this administration's policies is surely deluded. A project of this significance benefits government consultants and contractors. The Afghan people have received few of the crumbs left and will pay the biggest price for our corporate greed.
Posted by: Martha | December 05, 2006 at 11:09 PM
I just found this site via a Google search for something else.
You write, "After several years of quiet neglect..." I always chuckle when people who haven't paid attention to the war in Afghanistan claim that no one else has been paying attention either. In actuality, the military forces of the U.S. and several other countries have been quite active there. Military personnel continue to die there. But it continues to be a popularly supported war, so it gets little attention (no controversy = no news).
Those who have ignored Afghanistan are like infants who think that if they can't see something, it must not exist. You may not have bothered to keep yourself informed, but that doesn't mean the rest of us are so willfully blind.
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