If you have trouble reading this email, go to the online version.



Sign up to receive this weekly listserv by sending your e-mail to baker@tcf.org.

Visit us online at www.afghanistanwatch.org for statistics and analysis on Afghanistan.
 

This Week in Afghanistan Watch:


June 3, 2005

Near Kandahar City, May 12, 2005: Coalition soldiers stack seized ordnance for detonation. Source: Department of Defense

Wave of Taliban
Attacks

Suicide Bombing in Mosque Kills Kabul Police Chief, 16 Others

June 1 (Bloomberg)—A suicide bomber blew himself up in a mosque in the Afghan city of Kandahar, killing 17 people, including the police chief of the capital Kabul … The U.S. military condemned the attack, the worst so far this year in Afghanistan, which is still largely controlled by warlords outside Kabul.

This week’s wave of attacksattributed to the Taliban and conducted with relative sophistication--challenged the assumption that the Taliban threat was receding into the past. The most troubling aspect of the attacks was the use of suicide bombs, which have been rare in Afghanistan but comprise the most lethal and difficult to defend attacks in Iraq. The last reported suicide bomb in Afghanistan was six months ago and killed four German ISAF troops.

It is somewhat surprising that suicide bombs have been so rare in Afghanistan. They would seem to be a model tactic for Taliban insurgents, which appear able to draw low skill but highly motivated fighters to the cause. The NY Times reported on Thursday that some Afghan authorities, such as Kandahar Governor Gul Agha Shirza, blame the attack on a foreigner of Arab descent and Al Qaeda affiliation, but it’s not yet clear if that is the case.

The nightmare scenario is that the spectacle of this morning’s attack will have a ripple effect, leading insurgents to replicate the tactic again and again. This appears to have been the case in Iraq, which suffered its first suicide bombing five months after the invasion. The tactic is now commonplace, and the radicalization of the Iraqi resistance has made stability operations an order of magnitude more difficult. We can only hope that this radicalization will not fermenting in the wake of the attack and recent riots over the Koran desecration reports.

Mosque bombing further highlights growing troubles in Afghanistan

KABUL, June 1, 2005 (AFP)—Three and a half years after the fall of the Taliban, a suicide bombing at the funeral of a top cleric who spoke out against the ousted regime has highlighted mounting insecurity in Afghanistan. The attack in the Taliban birthplace of Kandahar apparently targeted the visiting police chief of the capital of Kabul, who died along with his bodyguards, and will raise fresh concerns that the Islamic hardliners are staging a comeback. Coupled with the recent kidnapping of an Italian aid worker plus huge anti-US protests that left 15 people dead, almost every day casts a new shadow over the success story being touted by the United States in contrast to Iraq…

Top anti-Taliban cleric shot dead in Afghanistan

KANDAHAR, May 29, 2005 (AP)—Gunmen killed a Muslim cleric in southern Afghanistan on Sunday, a week after he led a call for people not to support Taliban rebels. Mullah Abdul Fayaz was shot to death on Sunday while driving in the center of Kandahar city, said deputy police chief Gen. Salim Khan. He blamed the Taliban for the murder and said 10 people have been arrested. Fayaz led a meeting a week ago in Kandahar of about 500 clerics from across Afghanistan that condemned the Taliban and called on people to support the government….

Explosion Strikes Within NATO Complex, No Injuries Reported

An explosion shook the headquarters of NATO’s 8,000-strong security force in the Afghan capital on Monday, but there were no immediate reports of injuries, a spokeswoman for the force said…An Afghan police officer outside the compound, speaking on condition of anonymity, said a rocket had hit inside the heavily fortified base, which is near the U.S. Embassy and other diplomatic missions in central Kabul.

Amid Reports of Waning Taliban, US troops dying at higher rate in Afghanistan than Iraq

WASHINGTON, May 21, 2005 (AP) by Robert Burns—American commanders say the Taliban is a viable resistance force in Afghanistan even three years after the Islamic radicals fell, but the U.S. military's fight to undermine their influence and bring stability is showing signs of progress.

The assessment follows a stretch in which U.S. troops in Afghanistan have been killed at a higher rate than those in Iraq, where there are about eight times as many American soldiers and where the situation is widely perceived as more dangerous…

Combat in Afghanistan has intensified in recent weeks, as expected, after a winter lull. U.S. commanders, however, say they think their plan for improving security--including the expansion of Afghan army, border patrol and police forces--is on track. Brig. Gen. Greg Champion (said) the recent increase in insurgent violence was due mainly to a more aggressive approach by American and Afghan forces. “We have not taken a posture of waiting" for the Taliban to begin their usual spring offensive, he said. Instead, U.S. and Afghan forces have been "going on our own offensive."…

Amnesty: persecution persists for women in Afghanistan

May 29, 2005 (AP)—Afghan women are in constant risk of abduction, rape and forced marriage and the government is doing little to address their plight, human rights group Amnesty International said in a report released 3 1/2 years after the ouster of the hardline Taliban regime.

Nearly 3,000 Afghans to compete for parliament

KABUL, May 29, 2005 (Reuters)—Nearly 3,000 Afghans have registered to stand in a historic Sept. 18 parliamentary election, the country's election commission said on Sunday. ”This is a very positive outcome, achieved in a short time frame and under challenging security conditions," Najla Ayubi of the Joint Electoral Management Body told a news conference, referring to the April 3-May 26 registration period.

Of the approximately 2,915 people who have registered to run for the 249-seat lower house of parliament, known as the Wolesi Jirga, 347 of them are women. There are 279 women among the 3,170 nominations for provincial councils, the commission said.

British to assault Taliban stronghold

KABUL, May 29, 2005 (The Observer) by Martin Bentham—Hundreds of British soldiers are to be sent to fight the Taliban in their heartland of southern Afghanistan under plans drawn up by military chiefs to bolster the authority of President Hamid Karzai's fledgling government. At least 1,000 soldiers will be deployed to help restore order across five of Afghanistan's most lawless provinces as part of an expansion of Nato operations. At the same time, Britain's commanding officer in Afghanistan admitted that it will be 'years', possibly 'a generation', before Britain will be able to leave the country…

The deployment, which will take place next spring, will mark a significant extension of Britain's role in Afghanistan and prompt concerns over the level of UK military commitments overseas, especially while the conflict in Iraq continues.

*********

Afghanistan Watch is prepared by Carl Robichaud, a program officer at The Century Foundation.

*********